Will Israel one day make their wish “From the Nile to the Euphrates” come true?
Will the Iranians one day take their revenge for the ruinous Arab attack
The invasion of the Arabs and the Mongols is engraved in most Iranian minds and hearts as two historical events that they consider the beginning and cause of their historical downfall and decline. As purportedly concisely to say “They came, took away anything then burnt and killed and looted and gone”, The Arab invasion, however, was even more horrific than the Mongol invasion. Not only they could burn and kill and loot but even forced our ancient culture to follow one of the most superstitious primitive cultures till it was ruined and not only forced our ancestors to obey but also to change their ancestral religion.
According to the Tajiks, we Muslims of Central Asia and Iran is a “Muslim ax” And our conversion to Islam has been done through violent force, so naturally, the Iranians Historically seek liberation from Islam religion and the imposed culture and its devastating effects. One of the Iranian’s historical mistakes was uniting with “Al Ali” against Islamic Caliphs and as a result, Iran became a home for Imams and Imamzadehs fleeing from the Umayyad Caliphate, a mistake which was the seed of an Iranian Shiite country and its side effects lasting till now and hurting us.
Iranians during the last 1400 years always have sought to pass from the horrific effects caused by one of the wildest tribes of their era who were Arab.
If this writing’s title is “taking revenge from the ruinous nomad Arabs, today’s “revenge” won’t mean reciprocal action and killing which is irrational, but basically, it means building the strength to pass through thought rooted in the cowardly Arab attack on Iran and move from the religious culture to a modern one and to start an independent industrial and powerful country.
But the clergy as the representative of the most traditional society’s layers, during the last century and until now opposed as a powerful force against Iran and Iranian progress and the very clergy who gained power after the Islamic revolution, by using governmental financial opportunities and political power can equip the conservatives and the traditional social classes ( producers/ distributors) against the other progressive sections, now is promoting superstitious religion and the traditional Arabic language and culture, not promoting even the modern Arabic. The clergy even misused the anti-modern conservative people in Iran.
Passing through Islamic Republic (I.R.) means the continuation of the constitutional movement and achieving secularism and laicity and cutting ties with the adverse Islamic world and taking out the 80 million people from this collection that can be our peaceful Iranian revenge from the barbaric Arabic tribes’ oppression in 1400 years ago which our ancestors suffered from it.
The first condition for reviving the culture and founding a modern Iran is removing the shameful ruling clergy and the Islamic republic in Iran. In the battle to overthrow the I.R., we should not return to another kind of ancestral traditions and ancient culture which is some other kind of fundamentalism(Kingdom rule or taking the power of the last survivor of the last dynasty Pahlavi ) but try to elevate the ancient Iranian culture and tradition into modern democratic ones that must be accompanied with social justice. These kinds of goals can mobilize millions of deprived and worker classes Iranians from any part or social group to fight against the oppressive, primitive anti-national ideology of I.R.(Islamic Republic )
This article discusses which possible international and regional conditions can help Iranians to fight against a regime that wants to impose “camel herding” rules ( Sharia ) on the progressive and evolving nation.
Emphasis on the “possible conditions” means that the discussed conditions can happen or can combine with other medium forms, but we should consider tens of possible conditions which can serve to grow and progress our Iran and when any possibility happens we should take the opportunity and take our chances.
In a situation where Iran even after I.R. faces enemies like the surrounding Arab countries or even Turkey led by Erdoğan who is “inclined” to the Muslim Brotherhood, “Israel” is the only country that as a friend and strategic ally can help to rebuild Iran after the ruling political Islam, the reason why the Arab countries even after the downfall of the I.R. will be at enmity with Iranians is that the rule of political Islam has passed its era in the Iranian society while in Turkey, Egypt, Qatar, Iraq and Afghanistan ( Now in 2022 Talibon in Afganistan are in power this article is written on 216 ) and the other nations in the region have potential background to empower the political Islam in different forms In Iraq and Lebanon, Ayatollah Sistani and Muqtada al-Sadr and Hassan Nasrallah, in Afghanistan, the Taliban in Turkey and Egypt, and the Muslim Brotherhood in North Africa, share in political power or lurking in power, From this perspective we are passing an era of political clergy that these countries are entering into it and this causes and will cause disagreement in political and social policies. If Iran gets close to Israel then our nation can get rid of the rule of pre-modern superstitious culture and the last remnants of the Arab religious culture, but till the clergy remains in political power, this seems to be impossible
this article analyses the prospects regarding close ties between “Iran” and “Israel” and the reasons for such a possibility, the context and the mutual needs of such unity. Today, as you read these lines, the alliance between “Iran” and “Israel” may seem far-fetched, But until three decades ago, nobody could imagine the collapse of the Soviet Union. But who could have imagined the reunion of 2 Germany? But who could have imagined “Donald Trump” negotiating with the Taliban?
The Middle East is sparkling like a volcanic eruption, and from fiery lava, only nations will come out that can get along with the future changes and before imposing mandatory changes, they should use them for reviving. Based on this, any future prospect for Iran should merge with the possible changes in the surrounding nation’s political-social affairs and the international powers present in the region.
Possible changes in surrounding countries and their impact on Iran’s fate
Whether we like it or not, Iran led by I.R. is part of the political-cultural geography with the “Islam world” title, the Islamic nations partly share the Arabic language and culture to the extent that along with the “Arab spring” movement in one of the countries of North Africa, Tunisia, other countries experienced a series of socio-political upheavals. So we saw massive changes in Egypt and as we all know it caused a horrible civil war in Syria, Yemen, and Libya now this fact shows that it is possible the future turmoil like Egypt or another neighboring country to spread fast in the other countries in the region, so we can not avoid detailed analysis of the coherent fate of many countries in the region just by saying that simply “Islam world” does not exist.
On the other hand, two non-Arab countries in the region, one Muslim and the other Jewish, namely Turkey and Israel, will have a great impact on the changes and developments in the region. Turkey is very upset with no success in joining Europe and now seeks to conquer the consumer market of Muslim Arab countries and central Asia with regard to the Turkish leaders biased to “Muslim brotherhood”, Turkey now seeks the Revival of Sunni-oriented Islamic identity among Muslims in the region and this in itself can be the context for possible confrontation between I.R. and Turkey, this can result in mobilizing Arab Sunni Muslim countries in the region. The allegation that Recep Tayyip Erdogan seeks revival of “Ottoman Empire” is invalid because in this case, Turkey should get close to Saudi Arabia to use its oil resources while Turkey calls the rulers in Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states “counter-revolutionaries” And seeks to revive a kind of “pan-Islamism”. The Islam propagated by “Erdoğan” is a kind of fundamentalist political Islam but without the clergy and the caliphate, and this is the basic source of disagreement between Turkey and Saudi Arabia. Israel’s proximity to the Arab states and the Gulf states can not have a major impact on the Islamic Republic, and at the same time, it can provoke the traditional strata in these countries and may lead to a revolt of these strata against their autocratic regimes. The same event happened in Iran in 1979
Israel, the only non-Arab and non-Muslim country in the region, considers any Islamist, whether Shiite or Sunni, a danger And it is precisely the reason why Israel is now doing its best to confront I.R. that claims to revive Islamic identity and civilization And in this way, it even unites with “Saudi Arabia” and the monarchies of the region to silence this movement. But we remember that the Arab countries of the Persian Gulf, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the kingdoms of Jordan and Morocco are like swamps that have been silent for years, and any social uprising will disturb these quiet swamps and thousands of years old stinking sediments will come to the surface. This result in disturbing the stillness and can cause deep political changes in these countries and the region. It is possible that the Arab nations will soon face protests and political changes, and among them, the “Muslim brotherhood” or similar rivals have the greatest potential to gain power in these countries.
Where is Islamic Republic’s position in the meantime?
The Islamic government strongly seeks to implement the theory that the greatness and authority of “Iran” are in integration with the Islamic world. We have not forgotten that now Turkey with a different approach has reached the same conclusion. The jurisprudential clergy, however, apparently claims of greatness and authority of Iran but in fact seeks to spread Islam by Shiite jurisprudential interpretation and spread this theory to the hundreds of millions of Muslim countries in the region and perpetuate the existence of a class called “Shiite clergy” that with the dawn of modern culture and civilization, finds itself in extinction, but is it the very system leaders that in their first years of the establishment had the theory of conquering Mecca by a bomb and Khomeini’s images carried by pilgrims, but they were the same dreamers who organized Karbala operation to conquer Basra and thought that as their first soldier steps into Basra, the people in that region would welcome them, now those fantasies confronted with devastating defeats and losses of tens of thousands young Iranians. But the idea of extending the Shiite jurisprudential government to Islamic countries still exists in the minds of each and every leader of the Islamic Republic And even many reformists. This idea is the driving force behind the domestic, regional, and global adventures of I.R. “Khamenei” and the ruling clergy will turn this illusion into reality, putting Iran in catastrophe.
But today in Iran, the ruling Islamic regime uses other means to fulfill this impossible dream, One is the emphasis on identifying the Islamic world versus the “Western world” and the other is the emphasis on the liberation of Palestine Hoping to be able to introduce the Islamic jurisprudential system as the hero of the Islamic and Arab world and show these countries that the kingdoms of the Middle East and the authoritarian rule of Egypt are betraying the interests of Islam, Islamic civilization and the Arabs.
According to Khamenei and his leadership center(Beite rahbari) and the IRGC, the issue of Palestine is a cause for unifying Muslim and defines their identity, especially for Arab Muslims, and according to the leaders of the Islamic Republic of Iran, any force that can protect the rights of Palestinians will be the hero of Islamic identity. This is the reason for defending the rights of the allegedly “oppressed Palestinians” by Hassan Nasrallah and political and military leaders of I.R. Otherwise, when Muslims were massacred in Chechnya, Uighur and Burma why was the Islamic zeal of “Hasan Nasrallah” and “Khamenei” was dead silenced?
Which force will break the neck of “the Islamic Revolution” in the Islam world?
But I.R. in fulfilling these fantasies will face a strong competitor.
Ibn Salman, the “crown prince of Arabia Saudia “, and the caliphs ruling the Persian Gulf coast can not challenge the discourse propagated by the Islamic Republic. But the Muslim Brotherhood will be able to overcome this challenge. Because the Muslim Brotherhood is the rival of the Islamic Republic and the rival is more dangerous than the enemy.
Remember the time after the “Arab Spring” when the Muslim Brotherhood forces came to power in the two countries of “Egypt” and “Tunisia”, as soon as the Muslim Brotherhood took power in Egypt they declared their enmity with I.R. and as the flagship of Salafi currents among Arab countries, raised the issue of “three islands” as a disputable topic between the Arab world and the “Persians”, “Mohammad Morsi” during his trip to Iran to attend the conference of non-aligned countries even refused a private meeting with the leaders of I.R.
Rashid al-Ghannouchi, the Tunisian Muslim leader of the Muslim Brotherhood during the “Ennahda”, loudly declared that he had nothing to do with the Islamic Revolution and its leadership, Khomeini. The leaders of Turkey and Qatar have openly spoken of their affiliation with the Brotherhood doctrine. European countries, and even Britain, support the White Revolution in the Arab world and supported changes similar to what happened in Turkey, during which power was transferred to Republican fundamentalist Muslims like Erdoğan.
Saudi Arabia and the Persian Gulf kingdoms are deeply concerned about Turkish-style Islam and the Muslim Brotherhood and will oppose them, that is why Saudi Arabia has spent millions of dollars helping the Egyptian military break the back of Mohamed Morsi’s “Islamic Republic.” And deprive them of power. The defeat of Mohamed Morsi in 2013 is reminding the suppression of the clerical protests in Iran in 1963-1342, and due to the existence of millions of politically and socially marginalized people in Egypt whom the elitist al-Sisi government can not absorb, the Muslim Brotherhood movement; In that country, can potentially organize this disillusioned population, and the re-emergence of the “Brotherhood” in Egypt is one of the strongest possibilities for future political developments in Egypt.
The rise of Republican fundamentalists in the Arab countries, as we see in current Turkey, will exacerbate an anti-Semitic and anti-Israel atmosphere in the countries in which they have seized power. It is true that during the presidency of Mohamed Morsi, relations between Egypt and Israel warmed up, but in a long process and in an atmosphere where ” Sunni Pan-Islamism” wants to eliminate its rival, Shiite “Pan-Islamism” led by I.R. And the rise of governments with fundamentalist Muslims, the political atmosphere moves towards anti-Semitic discourse. “Khomeini” at the beginning of the Islamic Revolution was not as anti-American as the years after seizing the power, but the Islamic revolution current was influenced by the mass of its supporters and turned the right-wing Shiite clergy into an anti-American force inclined to so-called socialist ideas, an issue that might affect the Muslim Brotherhood in other ways.
On the other hand, the “Arab” countries are naturally in close competition with the “Islamic Revolution” for the leadership of Muslim countries, and in such an atmosphere, this competition will become obvious and hostile. In such a situation, the leaders of the Islamic Republic of Iran can no longer hope that by connecting Iran to the Islamic world, a great Iran will be known as the political capital of the Islamic world. In such a situation, “political Islam” will no longer be a factor to grow Iran, but will cause trouble for Iran and Iranians.
Turkey and Qatar in near future, as soon the Brotherhood get the chance to gain power in one or two Arab countries, first will be rivals and finally act as “Mohammad Morsi” and “Rashid al-Ghannouchi” who were the enemies of the Islamic Republic. With such an attitude, since empowering the Brotherhood tendencies in the Arab countries, will weaken the position of the Islamic Republic among the Arab and Muslim nations, then this will help Iranian protest against I.R. This is precisely why, during the assassination of Jamal Khashgechi, Khamenei did not join with Turkey and Qatar, which are inclined to the Muslim Brotherhood, to condemn “Saudi Arabia” and did not condemn Khashgechi’s assassination. If one day there is a crossroads to choose between the “Saudis” and the “Brotherhood”, do not doubt that Islamic Republic (I.R.) will choose the “Saudis”
What is meant by “Iranians’ revenge on the Arabs”?
In a situation where Sunni pan-Islamism in the region is politically based on Turkey, Qatar, and Egypt, the position of the claimants of Islamic-Shiite identity for Iran will be greatly weakened, and this part of the Iranian population will no longer be able to claim of empowering Iran through ties with Arab and Muslim countries thus creating grounds for the Iranian republicans secular and laic discourse in the political and cultural realms. If we Iranians can free ourselves once and for all from the rule of political Islam and any other religion cut ties with a problematic political geography named the “Islamic world”, then we will be able to clear the stigma of defeat that our fathers suffered during the Mongol like an invasion of the Arabs. We will be able to compensate for the mistake of our ancestors who united with Al-Ali to fight Al-Umayyad
Iran will be free from the stigma and trap of I.R. and will be the beating heart of secularism and laicity in Central Asia and the Middle East, and will hit hard the religious superstitions and political Islam in the region.
What are the grounds for the unity of “Iran” and “Israel”?
If Muslim Brotherhood starts spreading in the region, then just as we see in Turkey today, the anti-Semitic culture and, in addition, the anti-Persian culture will peak, and this is the pretext for unity between Israel and Iran after I.R. “Israel” will be the only country that will be able to help reconstruct Iran on the large scale scientific, technical and even military fields after dethroning the rule of the jurisprudents over Iran, and we should keep in mind that in this hostile Middle East, Republican Iran will be the best ally for Israel. When Iran becomes independent, national, and free from jurisprudence ruins, Iran’s alliance with Israel after the fall of I.R. will be the future prospect as a strong ally along the Euphrates for great Israel. Let us not forget that only a republican, secular, and laic Iran will rid the region of Iranian Islam, and royal( Padeshahi) Iran or any preservation of Islam, even in the realm of society, after a decade or two, will lead to the resurgence of Islamic fundamentalists in Iran again . . With the overthrow of the Islamic Republic, we must get rid of Islam in Iran once and for all
Consider that the theory proposed in this paper is one of the dozens of possibilities, one of which or a combination of them may figure out the future of the region and Iran, and ultimately the final solution will be in the hands of the Iranians and countries in the region .
Is written 2016 – reviewed 2022
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