This article is about the day-by-day limitations of Netanyahu’s government’s capabilities in dealing with the anti-Jewish and anti-Israel agitations of the Islamic Republic. After explaining some terms used in the article, then it will be discussed what the capabilities of Netanyahu’s government were in dealing with the Islamic Republic and why it has become more and more limited now. Then, the issue of America’s withdrawal from the region and its regional effects, which has resulted in the limitation of Israel’s capabilities in the region, will be discussed, and the issue of the closeness of the Islamic Republic with the countries of the Persian Gulf will be focused on, and the conclusion of the article will be presented at the end.
Explanation of a few terms: In the title of the article, the limitations of the capabilities of the Netanyahu government and not of the Israeli government are mentioned. The reason for this emphasis is that Israel can take other policies than the policies of the Netanyahu government to deal with the Islamic Republic. But Netanyahu’s strategies in dealing with the blood enemy of the Jews and Israel, that is, the mullahs, have been noisy, costly, but empty policies with the least effect in deterring the Islamic Republic.
The desperation of Netanyahu’s government: Today, after several years of using the Islamic Republic of Iran’s assassinations of atomic scientists, explosions and destruction, and malicious activities attributed to Israel, the Islamic Republic has managed to reach the limit of producing an atomic bomb by enriching 60%, increase its power in Yemen, Iraq, Lebanon and Syria, and by getting closer to Saudi Arabia, all hopes of Israel to unite with the Arab countries of the region, such as the Arabic NATO, the Ibrahim Pact, getting closer to the government of Aliyev and even inviting the son of the last Shah of Iran, against the Islamic Republic have been lost.
As always, America will leave its ally Israel alone.
There is no doubt that the path that America is taking is towards the absence of an active presence in the region and will ultimately lead to Israel being alone in the region, in the midst of a sea of enemy countries.
Nadav Taimr, an expert on Israel-US relations and a former adviser to the Israeli government, in an article titled “America will leave the region, but Israel will be able to stop this process”, correctly focused on the increasing withdrawal of America from the region and its regional effects, including the excessive proximity of the Persian Gulf states to China and also to Iran. In this article, “Nadav” says that, unlike the United States, China does not seek to impose its political values on its economic allies, and therefore the countries of the region increasingly prefer an alliance with China over an alliance with the United States. He says: America’s inaction in confronting the Houthis’ attack on Aramco, and America’s failure in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya caused Iran and ISIS to fill this void.
Nadav Taimr believes that Israel will pay the highest price for the absence of an inactive US presence in the region.
Of course, in this article, he believes that Israel has the ability to stop the US withdrawal from the region, which is a little fanciful. But what he really emphasizes is that the Islamic Republic now has no desire to return to the JCPOA due to its alliance with China, and it sees this issue due to the fact that China somehow accepted the Islamic Republic’s arrival at the threshold of a nuclear state.
The main strength of Israel’s regional policies was the active presence of America in the region. The impact of America’s active presence in the region in recent years has shown itself in forcing the Persian Gulf countries to enter into various agreements with Israel. Of course, it was clear from that time that the Arab countries of the Middle East region ultimately have no way to get close to the Islamic Republic, and this closeness was predictable.
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The US” will lead “the Arab countries” to Iran’s path
The first results of America’s lack of active presence in the region are the excessive proximity of the Arab countries of the region, especially Saudi Arabia, to China, Russia, and the Islamic Republic. On the other hand, China does not care about Israel and its policies to involve itself in Israel’s problems with the Arabs. Following the increasing closeness of the Islamic Republic to the Arabs of the region, an may be in the future Egypt and possibly Jordan, the context for joint action of these countries is provided for the unity of action even in some international diplomatic affairs against Israel.
Many Arab countries, following the disappointment of reaching the gates of golden civilization in alliance with the West, may slowly step in Turkey’s path and adopt orientalist policies, which in itself means distance and even hostility with Israel.
Israel did not only lose America and the Arabs, it also lost Russia.
Following the war in Ukraine and Israel’s support from the Ukrainian side of the war, the relationship between Russia and Israel has cooled.
It is not a coincidence that since the breakdown of the relationship between Russia and Israel, Israel’s terror and destruction operations in Iran have been almost stopped, that is, Israel may have even bought a part of Russia’s relations in Iran without the Kremlin’s knowledge by spending exorbitant costs in order to identify its targets. Now, after the termination of active relations between these two countries, it is impossible to use those facilities. Another possible cause of Israel’s operation stop in Iran can be related to the attack on the Azerbaijani embassy in Iran, which led to the killing of two Jews that happened near or in the embassy of Azerbaijan in Tehran. Based on this, it seems that Israel has lost the possibility of sabotage and terror operations in Iran.. The malicious operation of Israel was very strong in terms of operations, but in terms of political effects and in terms of weakening the Islamic Republic, it has been almost zero. In order to counter the presence of the Islamic Republic through proxy forces such as Islamic Jihad, Hamas, and Lebanon’s Hezbollah, “Netanyahu” has begun to strengthen his diplomatic presence in the Republic of Azerbaijan and strengthen the military of this country, which is clear that the possibilities of military confrontation between the forces Iran’s security on Israel’s border is much greater than Israel’s capabilities through the Republic of Azerbaijan against the Islamic Republic. It seems that Israel’s support for the Republic of Azerbaijan has actually led to the unification of many people in fear of civil War in Iran.
It can be said confidently that Benjamin Netanyahu’s actions had no effect on weakening the Islamic Republic and even strengthened this system.
The last very wrong action of “Bibi” was to invite the son of the last Shah of Iran to visit Israel. This action severely hit the opposition seeking to overthrow the Islamic Republic and made it possible for the Islamic Republic to emphasize the opposition’s claim of separatism in its propaganda. On the other hand, by inviting Reza Pahlavi, who has no means of mobilizing forces against the Islamic Republic, Netanyahu actually interfered in the internal affairs of the opposition and showed that the Israeli government prefers a monarchy for Iran. Indeed, Mr. Netanyahu should be asked if the royal system is good, why doesn’t he prefer this gift to Israel?
Netanyahu’s desperation against the Islamic Republic
Conclusion:
1- It is not Israel’s duty to overthrow the Islamic Republic and this should be left to the people of Iran. Before thinking of overthrowing the Islamic Republic, Israel must protect itself against the potential upcoming intifada, in which the Islamic Jihad and Hamas will play a major role, and it may even cause an uprising of the Arabs living in Israel.
2- All of Netanyahu’s actions against the Islamic Republic have been fruitless and have led to the growing strength of the mullahs in the region, getting closer to the production of nuclear weapons and getting closer to China, and more presence in Lebanon and Syria. With the withdrawal of the US from the region, Israel should distance itself from Netanyahu’s policies of confronting the Islamic Republic and not weaken the position of the opposition against the Islamic Republic by interfering in the internal affairs of the opposition.
If Israel fails to stop the progress of the Islamic Republic, not through the terror and destruction that it has done so far, but through other means, the mullahs will soon have the possibility of launching a very strong intifada against Israel, and probably there will be negotiations between Jihad Islamic Palestine, Lebanon’s Hezbollah, and Hamas under the leadership of the Islamic Republic are in the process of intensifying military actions against Israel. The intifada, if it starts this time, will be supported by most of the Islamic countries and the position of the Islamic Republic among the Islamic world will become even stronger. Israel is sitting in a glass house and Netanyahu has indulged himself in propaganda against the Islamic Republic. Israel does not have much time. Reza Pahlavi from America and Aliyev in Azerbaijan does not have any operational possibilities against the Islamic Republic, but the proxy forces of the mullahs consisting of Islamic Jihad, Hamas and Hassan Nasrallah have many facilities in addition to tens and hundreds of thousands of disaffected Arabs living in Gaza, Israel and Lebanon. The storm is approaching.
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